Featherweight
3 Rounds
Melsik Baghdasaryan won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 6, 2021·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupMelsik Baghdasaryan: StrikervsBruno Souza: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Melsik Baghdasaryan wins(77.5%)
Actual result: Melsik Baghdasaryan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Melsik Baghdasaryan has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Melsik Baghdasaryan (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Red Corner
VS
Bruno Souza
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
34
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Melsik Baghdasaryan
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Collin Anglin · Jul 21L
SUBvs Josh Culibao · Feb 23W
vs Tucker Lutz · Jul 23L
KOvs Jean Silva · Feb 25Bruno Souza
oldest →latest
L
vs Luis Saldana · Mar 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Melsik BaghdasaryanMetricBruno Souza
5.04
Strikes / min
3.73
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
5.30
56%
Strike defense
45%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.50
72%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.90Δ 3.47 — meaningful gap-1.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Melsik BaghdasaryanBruno Souza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Melsik Baghdasaryan(5 fights)Bruno Souza(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Melsik Baghdasaryan
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5
Bruno Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2