Lightweight
3 Rounds
Melvin Guillard won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 7, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMelvin Guillard: Well-roundedvsFabricio Camoes: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Melvin Guillard wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Melvin Guillard wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fabricio Camoes threatens submissions; Melvin Guillard has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Melvin Guillard has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Melvin Guillard
Red Corner
VS
Fabricio Camoes
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
43
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Melvin Guillard
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jan 12L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 12L
vs Jamie Varner · Dec 12W
KOvs Mac Danzig · Jul 13L
vs Michael Johnson · Mar 14Fabricio CamoesL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kurt Pellegrino · Mar 10W
SUBvs Tommy Hayden · Jan 12L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Dec 13L
SUBvs Anthony Rocco Martin · Oct 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Melvin GuillardMetricFabricio Camoes
2.96
Strikes / min
1.29
1.85
Strikes absorbed / min
1.85
66%
Strike defense
61%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
2.34
61%
Takedown defense
20%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 1.67 — meaningful gap-0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Melvin GuillardFabricio Camoes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Melvin Guillard(10 fights)Fabricio Camoes(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.5-29.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
Melvin Guillard
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11
Fabricio Camoes
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5