Lightweight
3 Rounds
Melvin Guillard won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 25, 2010·Indianapolis, Indiana, USA, USA
Style matchupMelvin Guillard: Well-roundedvsJeremy Stephens: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Melvin Guillard wins(52.8%)
Actual result: Melvin Guillard wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Melvin Guillard
Red Corner
VS
Jeremy Stephens
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
43
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Melvin Guillard
oldest →latest
W
vs Fabricio Camoes · Jul 12L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 12L
vs Jamie Varner · Dec 12W
KOvs Mac Danzig · Jul 13L
vs Michael Johnson · Mar 14Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Mar 19L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
vs Mason Jones · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Melvin GuillardMetricJeremy Stephens
2.96
Strikes / min
3.13
1.85
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
66%
Strike defense
57%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
1.10
61%
Takedown defense
61%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Melvin GuillardJeremy Stephens
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Melvin Guillard(10 fights)Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Melvin Guillard
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11
Jeremy Stephens
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights26