Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jim Miller won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Friday, January 20, 2012·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupMelvin Guillard: Well-roundedvsJim Miller: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Melvin Guillard wins(53.4%)
Actual result: Jim Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jim Miller threatens submissions; Melvin Guillard has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Melvin Guillard has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Melvin Guillard
Red Corner
VS
Jim Miller
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
43
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Melvin Guillard
oldest →latest
W
vs Fabricio Camoes · Jul 12L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 12L
vs Jamie Varner · Dec 12W
KOvs Mac Danzig · Jul 13L
vs Michael Johnson · Mar 14Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Melvin GuillardMetricJim Miller
2.96
Strikes / min
2.92
1.85
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
66%
Strike defense
56%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
1.49
61%
Takedown defense
47%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Melvin GuillardJim Miller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Melvin Guillard(10 fights)Jim Miller(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.90.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-55.055.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Melvin Guillard
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39