Lightweight
3 Rounds
Melvin Guillard won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 2, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMelvin Guillard: Well-roundedvsShane Roller: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Melvin Guillard wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Melvin Guillard wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Melvin Guillard has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Melvin Guillard
Red Corner
VS
Shane Roller
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
43
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Melvin Guillard
oldest →latest
W
vs Fabricio Camoes · Jul 12L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 12L
vs Jamie Varner · Dec 12W
KOvs Mac Danzig · Jul 13L
vs Michael Johnson · Mar 14Shane Roller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Thiago Tavares · Mar 11L
SUBvs TJ Grant · Oct 11L
vs Michael Johnson · Jan 12W
vs John Alessio · Jul 12L
SUBvs Jacob Volkmann · Oct 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Melvin GuillardMetricShane Roller
2.96
Strikes / min
2.04
1.85
Strikes absorbed / min
2.65
66%
Strike defense
60%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
2.46
61%
Takedown defense
42%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Melvin GuillardShane Roller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Melvin Guillard(10 fights)Shane Roller(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.0-34.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+40.0-40.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Melvin Guillard
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11
Shane Roller
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6