Lightweight
3 Rounds
Melvin Guillard won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 29, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMelvin Guillard: Well-roundedvsWaylon Lowe: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Waylon Lowe wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Melvin Guillard wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Melvin Guillard is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Waylon Lowe has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Melvin Guillard has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Waylon Lowe has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Waylon Lowe (53.5%).
- Melvin Guillard has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Melvin Guillard
Red Corner
VS
Waylon Lowe
Blue Corner
-370
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+310
(24%)
43
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
165 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Melvin Guillard
oldest →latest
W
vs Fabricio Camoes · Jul 12L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 12L
vs Jamie Varner · Dec 12W
KOvs Mac Danzig · Jul 13L
vs Michael Johnson · Mar 14Waylon Lowe
oldest →latest
W
vs Steve Lopez · Sep 10W
vs Willamy Freire · Jan 11L
SUBvs Nik Lentz · Mar 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Melvin GuillardMetricWaylon Lowe
2.96
Strikes / min
1.88
1.85
Strikes absorbed / min
2.40
66%
Strike defense
53%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
4.47
61%
Takedown defense
83%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap-0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Melvin GuillardWaylon Lowe
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Melvin Guillard(10 fights)Waylon Lowe(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Melvin Guillard
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11
Waylon Lowe
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights4