Bantamweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Merab Dvalishvili won · U-DEC R5
MD
CS
Merab DvalishvilivsCory Sandhagen
UFC Event · Saturday, October 4, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMerab Dvalishvili: WrestlervsCory Sandhagen: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Merab Dvalishvili wins(64.9%)
Actual result: Merab Dvalishvili wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Merab Dvalishvili has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Merab Dvalishvili
Red Corner
VS
Cory Sandhagen
Blue Corner
-420
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+330
(23%)
35
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'11"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Merab Dvalishvili
oldest →latest
W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 24W
vs Sean O'Malley · Sep 24W
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 25W
SUBvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 25L
vs Petr Yan · Dec 25Cory Sandhagen
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Song Yadong · Sep 22W
vs Marlon Vera · Mar 23W
vs Rob Font · Aug 23L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Merab DvalishviliMetricCory Sandhagen
4.42
Strikes / min
4.86
2.80
Strikes absorbed / min
3.47
54%
Strike defense
56%
5.97
TDs / 15 min
1.15
76%
Takedown defense
56%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62evenly matched on net striking+1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Merab DvalishviliCory Sandhagen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Merab Dvalishvili(10 fights)Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+55.0-55.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Merab Dvalishvili
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17
Cory Sandhagen
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16