Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Merab Dvalishvili won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 13, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Merab Dvalishvili wins(68.9%)
Actual result: Merab Dvalishvili wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Merab Dvalishvili has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Merab Dvalishvili
Red Corner
VS
Gustavo Lopez
Blue Corner
-800
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+635
(14%)
35
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
172.72 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Merab Dvalishvili
oldest →latest
W
vs Sean O'Malley · Sep 24W
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 25W
SUBvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 25W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 25L
vs Petr Yan · Dec 25Gustavo Lopez
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Anthony Birchak · Nov 20L
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Mar 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Merab DvalishviliMetricGustavo Lopez
4.42
Strikes / min
2.48
2.80
Strikes absorbed / min
3.87
54%
Strike defense
57%
5.97
TDs / 15 min
1.74
76%
Takedown defense
31%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62Δ 3.01 — meaningful gap-1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Merab DvalishviliGustavo Lopez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Merab Dvalishvili(10 fights)Gustavo Lopez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.6-19.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.947.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
Merab Dvalishvili
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17
Gustavo Lopez
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3