Bantamweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Merab Dvalishvili won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, January 18, 2025·Inglewood, California, USA, USA
Style matchupMerab Dvalishvili: WrestlervsUmar Nurmagomedov: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Merab Dvalishvili wins(58.9%)
Actual result: Merab Dvalishvili wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Umar Nurmagomedov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Merab Dvalishvili
Red Corner
VS
Umar Nurmagomedov
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-270
(73%)
35
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Merab Dvalishvili
oldest →latest
W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 24W
vs Sean O'Malley · Sep 24W
SUBvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 25W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 25L
vs Petr Yan · Dec 25Umar NurmagomedovW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 23W
vs Bekzat Almakhan · Mar 24W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 24W
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 25W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Merab DvalishviliMetricUmar Nurmagomedov
4.42
Strikes / min
3.86
2.80
Strikes absorbed / min
1.86
54%
Strike defense
61%
5.97
TDs / 15 min
4.03
76%
Takedown defense
79%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.62evenly matched on net striking+2.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Merab DvalishviliUmar Nurmagomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Merab Dvalishvili(10 fights)Umar Nurmagomedov(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+49.6-49.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Merab Dvalishvili
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17
Umar Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9