Lightweight
3 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Michael Chiesa won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Friday, June 1, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMichael Chiesa: WrestlervsAl Iaquinta: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Michael Chiesa wins(59.8%)
Actual result: Michael Chiesa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Al Iaquinta enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Michael Chiesa threatens submissions; Al Iaquinta has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Chiesa (53.5%).
- Michael Chiesa has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Michael Chiesa
Red Corner
VS
Al Iaquinta
Blue Corner
+240
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-260
(72%)
38
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael ChiesaW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jul 23W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Aug 24W
SUBvs Max Griffin · Dec 24W
vs Court McGee · Jun 25W
SUBvs Niko Price · Mar 26Al IaquintaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Apr 18W
vs Kevin Lee · Dec 18L
vs Donald Cerrone · May 19L
vs Dan Hooker · Oct 19L
KOvs Bobby Green · Nov 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael ChiesaMetricAl Iaquinta
2.02
Strikes / min
4.06
1.73
Strikes absorbed / min
4.53
57%
Strike defense
61%
3.11
TDs / 15 min
0.63
65%
Takedown defense
74%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.47
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Chiesa(10 fights)Al Iaquinta(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Michael Chiesa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights22
Al Iaquinta
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15