Lightweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Pettis won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 7, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMichael Chiesa: WrestlervsAnthony Pettis: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Michael Chiesa wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Anthony Pettis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Chiesa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Michael Chiesa
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Pettis
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
38
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael ChiesaW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jul 23W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Aug 24W
SUBvs Max Griffin · Dec 24W
vs Court McGee · Jun 25W
SUBvs Niko Price · Mar 26Anthony PettisW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Mar 19L
vs Nate Diaz · Aug 19L
SUBvs Diego Ferreira · Jan 20W
vs Donald Cerrone · May 20W
vs Alex Morono · Dec 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael ChiesaMetricAnthony Pettis
2.02
Strikes / min
3.05
1.73
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
57%
Strike defense
54%
3.11
TDs / 15 min
0.61
65%
Takedown defense
60%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael ChiesaAnthony Pettis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Chiesa(10 fights)Anthony Pettis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.6-30.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+139.0-139.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Michael Chiesa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights22
Anthony Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20