Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michael Chiesa won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 24, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMichael Chiesa: WrestlervsFrancisco Trinaldo: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Michael Chiesa wins(55.5%)
Actual result: Michael Chiesa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Michael Chiesa has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Michael Chiesa
Red Corner
VS
Francisco Trinaldo
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
38
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael ChiesaW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jul 23W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Aug 24W
SUBvs Max Griffin · Dec 24W
vs Court McGee · Jun 25W
SUBvs Niko Price · Mar 26Francisco Trinaldo
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22L
vs Randy Brown · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael ChiesaMetricFrancisco Trinaldo
2.02
Strikes / min
3.13
1.73
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
57%
Strike defense
60%
3.11
TDs / 15 min
0.98
65%
Takedown defense
60%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael ChiesaFrancisco Trinaldo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Chiesa(10 fights)Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+101.0-101.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Michael Chiesa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights22
Francisco Trinaldo
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26