Welterweight
3 Rounds
Michael Chiesa won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 7, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMichael Chiesa: WrestlervsMax Griffin: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Michael Chiesa wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Michael Chiesa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chiesa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Chiesa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Michael Chiesa
Red Corner
VS
Max Griffin
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
38
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael ChiesaW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sean Brady · Nov 21L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jul 23W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Aug 24W
vs Court McGee · Jun 25W
SUBvs Niko Price · Mar 26Max Griffin
oldest →latest
L
vs Neil Magny · Mar 22W
vs Tim Means · Oct 22L
vs Michael Morales · Jul 23W
vs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 24L
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael ChiesaMetricMax Griffin
2.02
Strikes / min
3.70
1.73
Strikes absorbed / min
3.69
57%
Strike defense
58%
3.11
TDs / 15 min
1.44
65%
Takedown defense
69%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael ChiesaMax Griffin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Chiesa(10 fights)Max Griffin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+52.9-52.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-175.0175.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Michael Chiesa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights22
Max Griffin
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18