Welterweight
5 Rounds
Michael Chiesa won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Wednesday, January 20, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupMichael Chiesa: WrestlervsNeil Magny: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Neil Magny wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Michael Chiesa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Michael Chiesa threatens submissions; Neil Magny has lost 46% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Chiesa (53.5%).
- Neil Magny has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Michael Chiesa
Red Corner
VS
Neil Magny
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-148
(60%)
38
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael ChiesaW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jul 23W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Aug 24W
SUBvs Max Griffin · Dec 24W
vs Court McGee · Jun 25W
SUBvs Niko Price · Mar 26Neil Magny
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael ChiesaMetricNeil Magny
2.02
Strikes / min
3.40
1.73
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
57%
Strike defense
51%
3.11
TDs / 15 min
2.17
65%
Takedown defense
55%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael ChiesaNeil Magny
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Chiesa(10 fights)Neil Magny(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-56.256.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+217.0-217.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Michael Chiesa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights22
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37