Welterweight
3 Rounds
Sean Brady won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 20, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMichael Chiesa: WrestlervsSean Brady: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Sean Brady wins(70.8%)
Actual result: Sean Brady wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Sean Brady threatens submissions; Michael Chiesa has lost 71% of fights by sub.
- Sean Brady has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Chiesa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Michael Chiesa
Red Corner
VS
Sean Brady
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
38
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael ChiesaW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jul 23W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Aug 24W
SUBvs Max Griffin · Dec 24W
vs Court McGee · Jun 25W
SUBvs Niko Price · Mar 26Sean Brady
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Belal Muhammad · Oct 22W
SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Dec 23W
vs Gilbert Burns · Sep 24W
SUBvs Leon Edwards · Mar 25L
KOvs Michael Morales · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael ChiesaMetricSean Brady
2.02
Strikes / min
4.08
1.73
Strikes absorbed / min
2.77
57%
Strike defense
59%
3.11
TDs / 15 min
3.58
65%
Takedown defense
86%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap+1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael ChiesaSean Brady
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Chiesa(10 fights)Sean Brady(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.1-32.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-154.0154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Michael Chiesa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights22
Sean Brady
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10