Welterweight
3 Rounds
Vicente Luque won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 7, 2021·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupMichael Chiesa: WrestlervsVicente Luque: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Michael Chiesa wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Vicente Luque wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Chiesa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Michael Chiesa
Red Corner
VS
Vicente Luque
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
38
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael ChiesaW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jul 23W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Aug 24W
SUBvs Max Griffin · Dec 24W
vs Court McGee · Jun 25W
SUBvs Niko Price · Mar 26Vicente LuqueL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24W
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25L
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael ChiesaMetricVicente Luque
2.02
Strikes / min
4.80
1.73
Strikes absorbed / min
5.24
57%
Strike defense
51%
3.11
TDs / 15 min
0.89
65%
Takedown defense
59%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael ChiesaVicente Luque
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Chiesa(10 fights)Vicente Luque(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.119.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+66.0-66.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Michael Chiesa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights22
Vicente Luque
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23