Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michael Johnson won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 14, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMichael Johnson: Pressure fightervsAlan Patrick: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Alan Patrick wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Michael Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Johnson has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Michael Johnson has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Michael Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Alan Patrick
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
39
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael Johnson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 23W
vs Darrius Flowers · Feb 24W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Dec 24W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Jul 25L
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 26Alan PatrickL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Damien Brown · Mar 16W
vs Stevie Ray · Sep 16W
vs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 18L
KOvs Scott Holtzman · Oct 18L
vs Bobby Green · Sep 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael JohnsonMetricAlan Patrick
4.27
Strikes / min
1.82
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
2.95
58%
Strike defense
43%
0.57
TDs / 15 min
3.01
81%
Takedown defense
43%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.49Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap-1.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael JohnsonAlan Patrick
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Johnson(10 fights)Alan Patrick(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-58.658.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-147.0147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Michael Johnson
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights32
Alan Patrick
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9