Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michael Johnson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 8, 2014·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupMichael Johnson: Pressure fightervsMelvin Guillard: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Melvin Guillard wins(52.7%)
Actual result: Michael Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Johnson has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Johnson (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Michael Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Melvin Guillard
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
39
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael Johnson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 23W
vs Darrius Flowers · Feb 24W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Dec 24W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Jul 25L
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 26Melvin Guillard
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jan 12W
vs Fabricio Camoes · Jul 12L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 12L
vs Jamie Varner · Dec 12W
KOvs Mac Danzig · Jul 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael JohnsonMetricMelvin Guillard
4.27
Strikes / min
2.96
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
1.85
58%
Strike defense
66%
0.57
TDs / 15 min
1.30
81%
Takedown defense
61%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.49evenly matched on net striking+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael JohnsonMelvin Guillard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Johnson(10 fights)Melvin Guillard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.5-16.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-154.0154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Michael Johnson
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights32
Melvin Guillard
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11