Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michael Johnson won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 14, 2024·Tampa, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupMichael Johnson: Pressure fightervsOttman Azaitar: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Ottman Azaitar wins(62.8%)
Actual result: Michael Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ottman Azaitar has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ottman Azaitar (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Michael Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Ottman Azaitar
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
39
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael Johnson
oldest →latest
W
vs Marc Diakiese · Dec 22L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 23W
vs Darrius Flowers · Feb 24W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Jul 25L
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 26Ottman AzaitarL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Teemu Packalen · Sep 19W
KOvs Khama Worthy · Sep 20L
KOvs Matt Frevola · Nov 22L
KOvs Francisco Prado · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael JohnsonMetricOttman Azaitar
4.27
Strikes / min
4.43
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
58%
Strike defense
52%
0.57
TDs / 15 min
0.00
81%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.49evenly matched on net striking+0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael JohnsonOttman Azaitar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Johnson(10 fights)Ottman Azaitar(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.3-4.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-210.0210.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Michael Johnson
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights32
Ottman Azaitar
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5