Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michael Johnson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 28, 2012·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupMichael Johnson: Pressure fightervsShane Roller: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Shane Roller wins(57.7%)
Actual result: Michael Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Johnson has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Johnson (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Michael Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Shane Roller
Blue Corner
+225
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
39
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael Johnson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 23W
vs Darrius Flowers · Feb 24W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Dec 24W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Jul 25L
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 26Shane Roller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Thiago Tavares · Mar 11L
KOvs Melvin Guillard · Jul 11L
SUBvs TJ Grant · Oct 11W
vs John Alessio · Jul 12L
SUBvs Jacob Volkmann · Oct 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael JohnsonMetricShane Roller
4.27
Strikes / min
2.04
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
2.65
58%
Strike defense
60%
0.57
TDs / 15 min
2.46
81%
Takedown defense
42%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.49Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael JohnsonShane Roller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Johnson(10 fights)Shane Roller(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Michael Johnson
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights32
Shane Roller
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6