Lightweight
3 Rounds
Stevie Ray won · M-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 26, 2019·Kallang, Singapore, Singapore
Style matchupMichael Johnson: Pressure fightervsStevie Ray: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Stevie Ray wins(62.3%)
Actual result: Stevie Ray wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Johnson has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Michael Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Stevie Ray
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
39
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael Johnson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 23W
vs Darrius Flowers · Feb 24W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Dec 24W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Jul 25L
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 26Stevie Ray
oldest →latest
W
vs Joe Lauzon · Apr 17L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jul 17L
vs Kajan Johnson · Mar 18W
vs Jessin Ayari · Oct 18L
KOvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael JohnsonMetricStevie Ray
4.27
Strikes / min
3.73
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
2.93
58%
Strike defense
54%
0.57
TDs / 15 min
0.75
81%
Takedown defense
55%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.49evenly matched on net striking+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael JohnsonStevie Ray
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Johnson(10 fights)Stevie Ray(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.3-2.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Michael Johnson
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights32
Stevie Ray
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11