Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Michael McDonald won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 26, 2011·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Michael McDonald wins(61.9%)
Actual result: Michael McDonald wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edwin Figueroa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Michael McDonald has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Michael McDonald
Red Corner
VS
Edwin Figueroa
Blue Corner
-460
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+365
(22%)
35
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael McDonald
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Renan Barao · Feb 13W
SUBvs Brad Pickett · Aug 13L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Dec 13W
SUBvs Masanori Kanehara · Jan 16L
KOvs John Lineker · Jul 16Edwin FigueroaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jason Reinhardt · Aug 11W
vs Alex Caceres · Feb 12L
KOvs Francisco Rivera · Feb 13L
vs Roland Delorme · Jun 13L
vs Erik Perez · Nov 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael McDonaldMetricEdwin Figueroa
2.69
Strikes / min
2.57
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
3.06
57%
Strike defense
51%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
0.20
52%
Takedown defense
37%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07evenly matched on net striking-0.49
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael McDonald(9 fights)Edwin Figueroa(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Michael McDonald
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9
Edwin Figueroa
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6