Bantamweight
5 Rounds
John Lineker won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 13, 2016·Sioux Falls, South Dakota, USA, USA
Style matchupMichael McDonald: Submission grapplervsJohn Lineker: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Michael McDonald wins(59.5%)
Actual result: John Lineker wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Lineker has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Michael McDonald
Red Corner
VS
John Lineker
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'3"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael McDonald
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Miguel Torres · Apr 12L
SUBvs Renan Barao · Feb 13W
SUBvs Brad Pickett · Aug 13L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Dec 13W
SUBvs Masanori Kanehara · Jan 16John Lineker
oldest →latest
W
vs John Dodson · Oct 16L
vs TJ Dillashaw · Dec 16W
vs Marlon Vera · Oct 17W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 18L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Apr 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael McDonaldMetricJohn Lineker
2.69
Strikes / min
5.36
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
4.27
57%
Strike defense
56%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
0.56
52%
Takedown defense
67%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07Δ 1.16 — meaningful gap+1.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael McDonaldJohn Lineker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael McDonald(9 fights)John Lineker(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-27.927.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.71.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Michael McDonald
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9
John Lineker
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16