Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Michael McDonald won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 2, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Michael McDonald wins(51.6%)
Actual result: Michael McDonald wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Michael McDonald
Red Corner
VS
Masanori Kanehara
Blue Corner
-600
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
35
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael McDonaldL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Miguel Torres · Apr 12L
SUBvs Renan Barao · Feb 13W
SUBvs Brad Pickett · Aug 13L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Dec 13L
KOvs John Lineker · Jul 16Masanori Kanehara
oldest →latest
W
vs Alex Caceres · Sep 14L
vs Rani Yahya · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael McDonaldMetricMasanori Kanehara
2.69
Strikes / min
1.88
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
1.63
57%
Strike defense
62%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
1.44
52%
Takedown defense
63%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael McDonaldMasanori Kanehara
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael McDonald(9 fights)Masanori Kanehara(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+41.5-41.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+578.0-578.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Michael McDonald
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9
Masanori Kanehara
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3