Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Michael Morales is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Adam Fugitt has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Michael Morales has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Adam Fugitt (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael MoralesW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Jake Matthews · Nov 23W
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 24W
KOvs Gilbert Burns · May 25W
KOvs Sean Brady · Nov 25 Adam FugittL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Yusaku Kinoshita · Feb 23L
SUBvs Mike Malott · Jun 23W
vs Josh Quinlan · Jun 24L
KOvs Islam Dulatov · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael MoralesMetricAdam Fugitt
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.42Δ 2.87 — meaningful gap-0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Michael MoralesAdam Fugitt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Morales(7 fights)Adam Fugitt(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +72.2|Blue -72.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Michael MoralesTargetAdam Fugitt
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Adam Fugitt edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:31Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:04
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 3Michael Morales edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:08
Knockdowns2
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
0Knockdowns
