Welterweight
3 Rounds
Michael Morales won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 30, 2022·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupMichael Morales: Well-roundedvsAdam Fugitt: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Michael Morales wins(72.5%)
Actual result: Michael Morales wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Michael Morales is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Adam Fugitt has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Michael Morales has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Adam Fugitt (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Michael Morales
Red Corner
VS
Adam Fugitt
Blue Corner
-600
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
26
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
200.66 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael MoralesW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Max Griffin · Jul 23W
vs Jake Matthews · Nov 23W
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 24W
KOvs Gilbert Burns · May 25W
KOvs Sean Brady · Nov 25Adam FugittL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Yusaku Kinoshita · Feb 23L
SUBvs Mike Malott · Jun 23W
vs Josh Quinlan · Jun 24L
KOvs Islam Dulatov · Jul 25L
KOvs Ty Miller · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael MoralesMetricAdam Fugitt
5.68
Strikes / min
4.88
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
5.33
53%
Strike defense
51%
1.04
TDs / 15 min
1.63
89%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.42Δ 2.87 — meaningful gap-0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael MoralesAdam Fugitt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Morales(7 fights)Adam Fugitt(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.4-20.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Michael Morales
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights7
Adam Fugitt
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights6