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Middleweight
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Elo1545
Michael Page
Elo1544
Nursulton Ruziboev

Michael PagevsNursulton RuziboevUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Saturday, September 5, 2026Paris, France

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Michael Page enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Michael Page has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Michael Page has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Michael Page
Red Corner
VS
Nursulton Ruziboev
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1545
Elo
1544
39
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'5"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Michael PageW3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 24
L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Jun 24
W
vs Shara Magomedov · Feb 25
W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 25
W
vs Sam Patterson · Mar 26
latest
Nursulton RuziboevW3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Mar 24
L
vs Joaquin Buckley · May 24
W
KOvs Eric McConico · Feb 25
W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · May 25
W
SUBvs Andrey Pulyaev · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Michael PageMetricNursulton Ruziboev
2.28
Strikes / min
2.59
1.51
Strikes absorbed / min
2.89
62%
Strike defense
48%
0.19
TDs / 15 min
0.75
70%
Takedown defense
33%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.77Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap-0.30
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801500152015401560← oldermost recent →
Michael Page(5 fights)Nursulton Ruziboev(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO75%

Historical win share: Nursulton Ruziboev earned 60% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission25%

Historical win share: Nursulton Ruziboev earned 20% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Michael Page

StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5

Nursulton Ruziboev

StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights7