Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michael Trizano won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 10, 2018·Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupMichael Trizano: Well-roundedvsLuis Pena: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Luis Pena wins(50.6%)
Actual result: Michael Trizano wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Trizano has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luis Pena (53.5%).
- Luis Pena has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Michael Trizano
Red Corner
VS
Luis Pena
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
34
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'3"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michael Trizano
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Grant Dawson · May 19W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 21L
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Feb 22L
KOvs Lucas Almeida · Jun 22W
KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Nov 22Luis Pena
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matt Wiman · Jun 19L
vs Matt Frevola · Oct 19W
vs Steve Garcia · Feb 20L
SUBvs Khama Worthy · Jun 20W
vs Alexander Munoz · Apr 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michael TrizanoMetricLuis Pena
3.63
Strikes / min
3.66
4.40
Strikes absorbed / min
3.12
50%
Strike defense
51%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
1.17
72%
Takedown defense
48%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.77Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap+0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michael TrizanoLuis Pena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michael Trizano(7 fights)Luis Pena(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Michael Trizano
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7
Luis Pena
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8