Middleweight
3 Rounds
Michal Oleksiejczuk won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 7, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMichal Oleksiejczuk: Pressure fightervsMarc-Andre Barriault: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Michal Oleksiejczuk wins(62.6%)
Actual result: Michal Oleksiejczuk wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michal Oleksiejczuk has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Marc-Andre Barriault has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michal Oleksiejczuk (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Red Corner
VS
Marc-Andre Barriault
Blue Corner
-490
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+380
(21%)
31
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michal OleksiejczukW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Michel Pereira · Mar 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 24L
vs Shara Magomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 25W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 25Marc-Andre Barriault
oldest →latest
L
vs Chris Curtis · Jan 24L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Jun 24L
KOvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Nov 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · May 25L
vs Shara Magomedov · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michal OleksiejczukMetricMarc-Andre Barriault
5.85
Strikes / min
5.65
4.50
Strikes absorbed / min
5.94
59%
Strike defense
49%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
0.34
52%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.35Δ 1.64 — meaningful gap-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michal OleksiejczukMarc-Andre Barriault
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michal Oleksiejczuk(10 fights)Marc-Andre Barriault(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+59.5-59.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Michal Oleksiejczuk
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17
Marc-Andre Barriault
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17