Middleweight
3 Rounds
Michel Pereira won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 9, 2024·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupMichel Pereira: Pressure fightervsMichal Oleksiejczuk: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Michel Pereira wins(56.5%)
Actual result: Michel Pereira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michal Oleksiejczuk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Michel Pereira has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michal Oleksiejczuk (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Michel Pereira
Red Corner
VS
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
32
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michel Pereira
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ihor Potieria · May 24L
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Oct 24L
vs Abus Magomedov · Apr 25L
KOvs Kyle Daukaus · Aug 25W
vs Zach Reese · Feb 26Michal OleksiejczukW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 24L
vs Shara Magomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 25W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 25W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michel PereiraMetricMichal Oleksiejczuk
4.46
Strikes / min
5.85
4.40
Strikes absorbed / min
4.50
51%
Strike defense
59%
1.21
TDs / 15 min
1.02
75%
Takedown defense
52%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michel PereiraMichal Oleksiejczuk
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michel Pereira(10 fights)Michal Oleksiejczuk(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+48.3-48.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Michel Pereira
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights15
Michal Oleksiejczuk
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17