Welterweight
3 Rounds
Tristan Connelly won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 14, 2019·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupMichel Pereira: Pressure fightervsTristan Connelly: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Tristan Connelly wins(52.5%)
Actual result: Tristan Connelly wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michel Pereira has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Michel Pereira has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Michel Pereira
Red Corner
VS
Tristan Connelly
Blue Corner
-460
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+365
(22%)
32
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michel Pereira
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ihor Potieria · May 24L
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Oct 24L
vs Abus Magomedov · Apr 25L
KOvs Kyle Daukaus · Aug 25W
vs Zach Reese · Feb 26Tristan ConnellyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Pat Sabatini · Apr 21L
vs Darren Elkins · Apr 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michel PereiraMetricTristan Connelly
4.46
Strikes / min
3.31
4.40
Strikes absorbed / min
2.96
51%
Strike defense
50%
1.21
TDs / 15 min
0.33
75%
Takedown defense
60%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06evenly matched on net striking+0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michel PereiraTristan Connelly
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michel Pereira(10 fights)Tristan Connelly(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.2-20.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Michel Pereira
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights15
Tristan Connelly
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights3