Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michel Prazeres won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 23, 2016·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Michel Prazeres wins(74.4%)
Actual result: Michel Prazeres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michel Prazeres has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- JC Cottrell has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Michel Prazeres
Red Corner
VS
JC Cottrell
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
44
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
170.18 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michel PrazeresL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Desmond Green · Feb 18W
vs Zak Cummings · May 18W
SUBvs Bartosz Fabinski · Nov 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Feb 19L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Jun 21JC Cottrell
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jason Gonzalez · Jan 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michel PrazeresMetricJC Cottrell
2.38
Strikes / min
0.79
2.51
Strikes absorbed / min
2.75
57%
Strike defense
45%
3.94
TDs / 15 min
0.79
47%
Takedown defense
50%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13Δ 1.83 — meaningful gap-1.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michel PrazeresJC Cottrell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michel Prazeres(10 fights)JC Cottrell(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.2-18.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.548.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Michel Prazeres
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14
JC Cottrell
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach—
Fights2