Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michel Prazeres won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 11, 2017·Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupMichel Prazeres: WrestlervsJoshua Burkman: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Michel Prazeres wins(78.0%)
Actual result: Michel Prazeres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Burkman enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Joshua Burkman has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Joshua Burkman has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Michel Prazeres
Red Corner
VS
Joshua Burkman
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
44
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'10"
170.18 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michel PrazeresL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Desmond Green · Feb 18W
vs Zak Cummings · May 18W
SUBvs Bartosz Fabinski · Nov 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Feb 19L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Jun 21Joshua BurkmanL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs KJ Noons · Feb 16L
vs Paul Felder · May 16L
vs Zak Ottow · Oct 16L
KOvs Drew Dober · Jul 17L
SUBvs Alex Morono · Feb 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michel PrazeresMetricJoshua Burkman
2.38
Strikes / min
2.69
2.51
Strikes absorbed / min
3.13
57%
Strike defense
51%
3.94
TDs / 15 min
2.53
47%
Takedown defense
72%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13evenly matched on net striking-0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michel PrazeresJoshua Burkman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michel Prazeres(10 fights)Joshua Burkman(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+100.7-100.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Michel Prazeres
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14
Joshua Burkman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8