Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michel Prazeres won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 2, 2017·Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands, Netherlands
Style matchupMichel Prazeres: WrestlervsMads Burnell: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Michel Prazeres wins(67.7%)
Actual result: Michel Prazeres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michel Prazeres has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Michel Prazeres
Red Corner
VS
Mads Burnell
Blue Corner
-390
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+320
(24%)
44
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michel PrazeresL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Desmond Green · Feb 18W
vs Zak Cummings · May 18W
SUBvs Bartosz Fabinski · Nov 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Feb 19L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Jun 21Mads Burnell
oldest →latest
W
vs Mike Santiago · Jan 18L
SUBvs Arnold Allen · May 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michel PrazeresMetricMads Burnell
2.38
Strikes / min
1.28
2.51
Strikes absorbed / min
2.71
57%
Strike defense
51%
3.94
TDs / 15 min
3.45
47%
Takedown defense
22%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap-1.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michel PrazeresMads Burnell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michel Prazeres(10 fights)Mads Burnell(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+68.3-68.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.348.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Michel Prazeres
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14
Mads Burnell
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3