Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Michelle Montague won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 27, 2025·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupMichelle Montague: WrestlervsLuana Carolina: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Michelle Montague wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Michelle Montague wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luana Carolina enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Luana Carolina has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Luana Carolina has 68pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michelle Montague (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Michelle Montague
Red Corner
VS
Luana Carolina
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+176
(36%)
32
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michelle MontagueNo prior UFC fights on record.
Luana CarolinaW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Molly McCann · Mar 22L
vs Joanne Wood · Mar 23W
vs Ivana Petrovic · Jul 23W
KOvs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 24W
vs Lucie Pudilova · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michelle MontagueMetricLuana Carolina
2.77
Strikes / min
4.65
2.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.46
41%
Strike defense
51%
3.50
TDs / 15 min
0.30
0%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.30evenly matched on net striking+1.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michelle MontagueLuana Carolina
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michelle Montague(1 fights)Luana Carolina(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-37.837.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.7-49.7
Michelle Montague
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights1
Luana Carolina
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights10