Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Amanda Lemos won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 16, 2022·Elmont, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupMichelle Waterson-Gomez: Well-roundedvsAmanda Lemos: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Michelle Waterson-Gomez wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Amanda Lemos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michelle Waterson-Gomez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Amanda Lemos (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Red Corner
VS
Amanda Lemos
Blue Corner
+260
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-315
(76%)
40
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'3"
Height
5'4"
157.48 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michelle Waterson-GomezL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Luana Pinheiro · Apr 23L
KOvs Marina Rodriguez · Sep 23L
vs Gillian Robertson · Jun 24Amanda LemosL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mackenzie Dern · Feb 24L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Jul 24W
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Mar 25L
vs Tatiana Suarez · Sep 25L
vs Gillian Robertson · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michelle Waterson-GomezMetricAmanda Lemos
3.42
Strikes / min
2.75
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
3.01
48%
Strike defense
45%
1.39
TDs / 15 min
1.02
69%
Takedown defense
63%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.83evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michelle Waterson-GomezAmanda Lemos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michelle Waterson-Gomez(4 fights)Amanda Lemos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-47.747.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights4
Amanda Lemos
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15