Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Gillian Robertson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 29, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMichelle Waterson-Gomez: Well-roundedvsGillian Robertson: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Michelle Waterson-Gomez wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Gillian Robertson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michelle Waterson-Gomez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gillian Robertson enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Michelle Waterson-Gomez has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Red Corner
VS
Gillian Robertson
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
40
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'5"
157.48 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michelle Waterson-GomezL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 22L
vs Luana Pinheiro · Apr 23L
KOvs Marina Rodriguez · Sep 23Gillian RobertsonW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Jun 23W
KOvs Polyana Viana · Jan 24W
vs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 24W
KOvs Marina Rodriguez · May 25W
vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michelle Waterson-GomezMetricGillian Robertson
3.42
Strikes / min
2.71
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
48%
Strike defense
56%
1.39
TDs / 15 min
2.76
69%
Takedown defense
38%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.83evenly matched on net striking-0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michelle Waterson-GomezGillian Robertson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michelle Waterson-Gomez(4 fights)Gillian Robertson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-86.886.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights4
Gillian Robertson
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights20