Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Luana Pinheiro won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 8, 2023·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupMichelle Waterson-Gomez: Well-roundedvsLuana Pinheiro: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Michelle Waterson-Gomez wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Luana Pinheiro wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michelle Waterson-Gomez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Luana Pinheiro enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Luana Pinheiro has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Red Corner
VS
Luana Pinheiro
Blue Corner
+132
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-156
(61%)
40
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'2"
157.48 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michelle Waterson-GomezL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 22L
KOvs Marina Rodriguez · Sep 23L
vs Gillian Robertson · Jun 24Luana PinheiroL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Sam Hughes · Nov 21L
KOvs Amanda Ribas · Nov 23L
SUBvs Angela Hill · May 24L
vs Gillian Robertson · Nov 24L
vs Tecia Pennington · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michelle Waterson-GomezMetricLuana Pinheiro
3.42
Strikes / min
3.29
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
4.06
48%
Strike defense
60%
1.39
TDs / 15 min
2.33
69%
Takedown defense
71%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.83evenly matched on net striking-0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michelle Waterson-GomezLuana Pinheiro
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michelle Waterson-Gomez(4 fights)Luana Pinheiro(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-41.941.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-238.0238.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.91.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights4
Luana Pinheiro
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights7