Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
Michelle Waterson won · S-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, September 12, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Michelle Waterson wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Michelle Waterson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michelle Waterson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Michelle Waterson
Red Corner
VS
Angela Hill
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
34
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'3"
157.48 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michelle WatersonL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Felice Herrig · Oct 18W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Mar 19L
vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Oct 19L
vs Carla Esparza · May 20L
vs Marina Rodriguez · May 21Angela HillL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Luana Pinheiro · May 24L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24W
vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25L
vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michelle WatersonMetricAngela Hill
—
Strikes / min
5.37
—
Strikes absorbed / min
5.02
—
Strike defense
60%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.75
—
Takedown defense
72%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michelle WatersonAngela Hill
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michelle Waterson(10 fights)Angela Hill(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.5-21.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Michelle Waterson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights3
Angela Hill
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights29