Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Michelle Waterson won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 14, 2018·Glendale, Arizona, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Michelle Waterson wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Michelle Waterson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cortney Casey has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Michelle Waterson
Red Corner
VS
Cortney Casey
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
32
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'7"
157.48 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michelle Waterson
oldest →latest
W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Mar 19L
vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Oct 19L
vs Carla Esparza · May 20W
vs Angela Hill · Sep 20L
vs Marina Rodriguez · May 21Cortney Casey
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · May 20L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Jun 20L
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 21W
vs Liana Jojua · Nov 21L
vs Antonina Shevchenko · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michelle WatersonMetricCortney Casey
—
Strikes / min
4.29
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.00
—
Strike defense
55%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.39
—
Takedown defense
39%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michelle WatersonCortney Casey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michelle Waterson(10 fights)Cortney Casey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.4-14.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
Michelle Waterson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights3
Cortney Casey
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15