Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Michelle Waterson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 6, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Michelle Waterson wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Michelle Waterson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felice Herrig enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Michelle Waterson
Red Corner
VS
Felice Herrig
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-135
(57%)
32
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'4"
157.48 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Michelle Waterson
oldest →latest
W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Mar 19L
vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Oct 19L
vs Carla Esparza · May 20W
vs Angela Hill · Sep 20L
vs Marina Rodriguez · May 21Felice HerrigL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Justine Kish · Jun 17W
vs Cortney Casey · Dec 17L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Apr 18L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Aug 20L
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Michelle WatersonMetricFelice Herrig
—
Strikes / min
3.84
—
Strikes absorbed / min
5.19
—
Strike defense
48%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.08
—
Takedown defense
75%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Michelle WatersonFelice Herrig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Michelle Waterson(10 fights)Felice Herrig(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-26.626.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Michelle Waterson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights3
Felice Herrig
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10