Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mick Parkin won · U-DEC R3
MP
CM
Mick ParkinvsCaio Machado
UFC Event · Saturday, November 18, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMick Parkin: Pressure fightervsCaio Machado: Elusive striker
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Mick Parkin wins(67.6%)
Actual result: Mick Parkin wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Caio Machado has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Caio Machado (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Mick Parkin
Red Corner
VS
Caio Machado
Blue Corner
-410
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
30
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'4"
Height
6'4"
200.66 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mick Parkin
oldest →latest
W
vs Jamal Pogues · Jul 23W
vs Mohammed Usman · Mar 24W
KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 24L
vs Marcin Tybura · Mar 25Caio MachadoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Apr 24L
vs Brendson Ribeiro · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mick ParkinMetricCaio Machado
4.70
Strikes / min
5.82
4.13
Strikes absorbed / min
2.87
58%
Strike defense
63%
1.38
TDs / 15 min
0.00
50%
Takedown defense
82%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.57Δ 2.38 — meaningful gap+2.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mick ParkinCaio Machado
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mick Parkin(5 fights)Caio Machado(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Mick Parkin
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5
Caio Machado
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights3