Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mick Parkin won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 27, 2024·Manchester, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupMick Parkin: Pressure fightervsLukasz Brzeski: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Mick Parkin wins(68.8%)
Actual result: Mick Parkin wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mick Parkin has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mick Parkin
Red Corner
VS
Lukasz Brzeski
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
30
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mick Parkin
oldest →latest
W
vs Jamal Pogues · Jul 23W
vs Caio Machado · Nov 23W
vs Mohammed Usman · Mar 24L
vs Marcin Tybura · Mar 25Lukasz BrzeskiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Karl Williams · Mar 23L
KOvs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Aug 23W
vs Valter Walker · Apr 24L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Dec 24L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mick ParkinMetricLukasz Brzeski
4.70
Strikes / min
4.90
4.13
Strikes absorbed / min
3.65
58%
Strike defense
54%
1.38
TDs / 15 min
0.41
50%
Takedown defense
35%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.57evenly matched on net striking+1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mick ParkinLukasz Brzeski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mick Parkin(5 fights)Lukasz Brzeski(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+64.0-64.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Mick Parkin
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5
Lukasz Brzeski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights7