Welterweight
3 Rounds
Andre Fialho won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 16, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMiguel Baeza: Pressure fightervsAndre Fialho: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Miguel Baeza wins(64.0%)
Actual result: Andre Fialho wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Miguel Baeza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Andre Fialho enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Miguel Baeza is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Andre Fialho has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Andre Fialho is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Miguel Baeza has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Miguel Baeza
Red Corner
VS
Andre Fialho
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
33
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miguel BaezaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matt Brown · May 20W
SUBvs Takashi Sato · Nov 20L
vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jun 21L
KOvs Khaos Williams · Nov 21L
vs Punahele Soriano · Jun 24Andre FialhoL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Cameron VanCamp · May 22L
KOvs Jake Matthews · Jun 22L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 22L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · May 23L
KOvs Tim Means · Sep 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miguel BaezaMetricAndre Fialho
4.09
Strikes / min
3.30
5.92
Strikes absorbed / min
6.26
46%
Strike defense
45%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
0.25
54%
Takedown defense
66%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.83Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap-2.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Miguel BaezaAndre Fialho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miguel Baeza(7 fights)Andre Fialho(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.9-35.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Miguel Baeza
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7
Andre Fialho
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7