Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Miguel Baeza enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Miguel Baeza is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Hector Aldana has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Hector Aldana has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Miguel Baeza has 54pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miguel BaezaL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Takashi Sato · Nov 20L
vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jun 21L
KOvs Khaos Williams · Nov 21L
KOvs Andre Fialho · Apr 22L
vs Punahele Soriano · Jun 24 Hector AldanaL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Song Kenan · Jun 18L
vs Laureano Staropoli · Nov 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miguel BaezaMetricHector Aldana
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.83evenly matched on net striking-1.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Miguel BaezaHector Aldana
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miguel Baeza(7 fights)Hector Aldana(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +116.0|Blue -116.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +48.7|Blue -48.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.6|Blue -49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Miguel BaezaTargetHector Aldana
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Miguel Baeza edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Miguel Baeza edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
