Welterweight
3 Rounds
Khaos Williams won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 13, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMiguel Baeza: Pressure fightervsKhaos Williams: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Khaos Williams wins(51.6%)
Actual result: Khaos Williams wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Miguel Baeza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Khaos Williams is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Miguel Baeza has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Miguel Baeza
Red Corner
VS
Khaos Williams
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
33
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miguel BaezaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matt Brown · May 20W
SUBvs Takashi Sato · Nov 20L
vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jun 21L
KOvs Andre Fialho · Apr 22L
vs Punahele Soriano · Jun 24Khaos WilliamsL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Randy Brown · May 22W
vs Rolando Bedoya · May 23W
KOvs Carlston Harris · May 24L
SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Feb 25L
vs Andreas Gustafsson · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miguel BaezaMetricKhaos Williams
4.09
Strikes / min
4.94
5.92
Strikes absorbed / min
5.39
46%
Strike defense
40%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
0.00
54%
Takedown defense
51%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.83Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap-0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Miguel BaezaKhaos Williams
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miguel Baeza(7 fights)Khaos Williams(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.0-18.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Miguel Baeza
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7
Khaos Williams
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9