Welterweight
3 Rounds
Punahele Soriano won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 8, 2024·Louisville, Kentucky, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Punahele Soriano wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Punahele Soriano wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Miguel Baeza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Punahele Soriano enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Punahele Soriano is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Miguel Baeza has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Punahele Soriano (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Miguel Baeza
Red Corner
VS
Punahele Soriano
Blue Corner
-192
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miguel BaezaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matt Brown · May 20W
SUBvs Takashi Sato · Nov 20L
vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jun 21L
KOvs Khaos Williams · Nov 21L
KOvs Andre Fialho · Apr 22Punahele SorianoW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 23L
SUBvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Dec 23W
KOvs Uros Medic · Jan 25W
vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Oct 25W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miguel BaezaMetricPunahele Soriano
4.09
Strikes / min
4.42
5.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
46%
Strike defense
47%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
1.97
54%
Takedown defense
48%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.83Δ 2.94 — meaningful gap+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Miguel BaezaPunahele Soriano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miguel Baeza(7 fights)Punahele Soriano(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.1-22.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+595.0-595.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Miguel Baeza
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7
Punahele Soriano
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11