Welterweight
3 Rounds
Miguel Baeza won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, November 28, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Miguel Baeza wins(64.7%)
Actual result: Miguel Baeza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Miguel Baeza enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Takashi Sato enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Takashi Sato is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Miguel Baeza has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Takashi Sato (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Miguel Baeza
Red Corner
VS
Takashi Sato
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
33
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miguel BaezaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matt Brown · May 20L
vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jun 21L
KOvs Khaos Williams · Nov 21L
KOvs Andre Fialho · Apr 22L
vs Punahele Soriano · Jun 24Takashi SatoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Belal Muhammad · Sep 19W
KOvs Jason Witt · Jun 20L
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 22L
KOvs Bryan Battle · Aug 22L
vs Themba Gorimbo · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miguel BaezaMetricTakashi Sato
4.09
Strikes / min
2.21
5.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.73
46%
Strike defense
44%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
0.76
54%
Takedown defense
60%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.83evenly matched on net striking-1.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Miguel BaezaTakashi Sato
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miguel Baeza(7 fights)Takashi Sato(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.6-17.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Miguel Baeza
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7
Takashi Sato
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7