Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mike Davis won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 12, 2019·Tampa, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Mike Davis wins(72.3%)
Actual result: Mike Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Davis is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Thomas Gifford has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Mike Davis has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Davis has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mike Davis
Red Corner
VS
Thomas Gifford
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike Davis
oldest →latest
L
vs Mason Jones · Jan 21W
vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Oct 22W
SUBvs Natan Levy · Mar 24L
vs Fares Ziam · Feb 25W
KOvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 25Thomas Gifford
oldest →latest
L
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Apr 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike DavisMetricThomas Gifford
4.73
Strikes / min
3.97
5.23
Strikes absorbed / min
6.45
54%
Strike defense
37%
2.40
TDs / 15 min
0.50
60%
Takedown defense
33%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.50Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap-2.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mike DavisThomas Gifford
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Davis(7 fights)Thomas Gifford(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.5-2.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Mike Davis
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7
Thomas Gifford
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2