Featherweight
3 Rounds
Makwan Amirkhani won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 19, 2022·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupMike Grundy: WrestlervsMakwan Amirkhani: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Mike Grundy wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Makwan Amirkhani wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Makwan Amirkhani threatens submissions; Mike Grundy has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Mike Grundy has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Grundy has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Makwan Amirkhani (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Mike Grundy
Red Corner
VS
Makwan Amirkhani
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
39
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike GrundyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Nad Narimani · Mar 19L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jul 20L
vs Lando Vannata · May 21Makwan AmirkhaniL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Edson Barboza · Oct 20L
vs Kamuela Kirk · Jun 21L
KOvs Lerone Murphy · Oct 21L
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Jul 22L
SUBvs Jack Shore · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike GrundyMetricMakwan Amirkhani
2.09
Strikes / min
1.33
4.45
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
56%
Strike defense
46%
4.06
TDs / 15 min
3.96
50%
Takedown defense
35%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.36evenly matched on net striking-1.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mike GrundyMakwan Amirkhani
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Grundy(4 fights)Makwan Amirkhani(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-22.422.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+168.0-168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Mike Grundy
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Makwan Amirkhani
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14