Welterweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Roberts won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 23, 2010·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Style matchupMike Guymon: Submission grapplervsDaniel Roberts: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Mike Guymon wins(62.7%)
Actual result: Daniel Roberts wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Roberts enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Roberts threatens submissions; Mike Guymon has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Mike Guymon has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Roberts (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Mike Guymon
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Roberts
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
51
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike Guymon
oldest →latest
W
vs Yoshiyuki Yoshida · May 10L
SUBvs DaMarques Johnson · Jan 11Daniel RobertsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Forrest Petz · Jul 10W
SUBvs Greg Soto · Jan 11L
vs Claude Patrick · Apr 11L
vs Rich Attonito · Jun 11L
vs Charlie Brenneman · Jan 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike GuymonMetricDaniel Roberts
2.75
Strikes / min
0.73
0.79
Strikes absorbed / min
2.27
66%
Strike defense
46%
1.87
TDs / 15 min
2.46
54%
Takedown defense
40%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
2.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.96Δ 3.50 — meaningful gap-1.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mike GuymonDaniel Roberts
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Guymon(3 fights)Daniel Roberts(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.5-17.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Mike Guymon
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3
Daniel Roberts
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7